Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.268971 2.399786 2.541821 2.709020 2.902548 3.122262 3.394803
2025-08-31 2.122630 2.285004 2.468744 2.695808 2.974648 3.314592 3.776070
2025-09-07 2.039896 2.224102 2.438989 2.714676 3.069894 3.530579 4.211784
2025-09-14 1.922625 2.110210 2.332587 2.623754 3.009242 3.527846 4.337479
2025-09-21 1.863375 2.060291 2.297972 2.616519 3.051959 3.664680 4.691324
2025-09-28 1.795011 1.994354 2.237862 2.569420 3.032848 3.706463 4.898080
2025-10-05 1.777934 1.990142 2.254220 2.622888 3.157176 3.977722 5.580290
2025-10-12 1.772111 1.998914 2.286669 2.699286 3.321785 4.341662 6.609383
2025-10-19 1.733801 1.963794 2.258676 2.687826 3.350294 4.478558 7.213172
2025-10-26 1.704745 1.939140 2.242968 2.692112 3.402841 4.667153 8.074490
2025-11-02 1.658789 1.890506 2.192355 2.641791 3.361260 4.668223 8.390365
2025-11-09 1.623963 1.855328 2.158622 2.614377 3.354974 4.738186 8.996740
2025-11-16 1.592476 1.824808 2.131742 2.598276 3.370912 4.867192 10.016768
2025-11-23 1.564830 1.798322 2.109120 2.586871 3.393232 5.014467 11.366320
2025-11-30 1.548534 1.786304 2.105933 2.604630 3.468233 5.298906 14.208209
2025-12-07 1.501875 1.731851 2.040707 2.521896 3.353072 5.105626 13.431441
2025-12-14 1.481202 1.712186 2.024393 2.515598 3.378796 5.267099 16.003314
2025-12-21 1.450470 1.677999 1.986185 2.472633 3.332390 5.236934 16.846624
2025-12-28 1.448842 1.683505 2.005081 2.521936 3.465779 5.718374 29.934586
2026-01-04 1.452899 1.696823 2.035661 2.592093 3.649844 6.438056 NaN
2026-01-11 1.434568 1.678379 2.018671 2.581768 3.667944 6.643803 NaN
2026-01-18 1.420941 1.666155 2.010474 2.585820 3.716905 6.982532 NaN
2026-01-25 1.394725 1.635636 1.974038 2.539831 3.653439 6.879277 NaN